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목요일, 2월 22, 2018

USD/CAD had a volatile Wednesday, closing on the high side and trading just beneath 1.2700 heading into the overnight session. The Dollar gained acro

USD jumping on positive FOMC, bond yields. Faltering oil prices contributing to CAD weakness. USD/CAD had a volatile Wednesday, closing on the high side and trading just beneath 1.2700 heading into the overnight session. The Dollar gained across the board following the FOMC Minutes, where officials voiced concerns about market imbalances and risks within the US economy, but overall growth expectations were raised and interest rate increases should begin soon. Bond yields spiked and equities tumbled following the FOMC, driving the USD higher against the major bloc currencies. The recent Dollar revival amidst rising bond yields has upended the bearish trend in USD/CAD, with February's rally pricing in a higher low for the pair, and continued positive growth coupled with inflation fears in the US economic outlook could send the pair trading higher, using the recent turnaround from 1.2460 as a foothold.USD/CAD TechnicalsWith the Greenback rallying and the Loonie struggling under the weight of its correlation with falling oil prices, the pair is set to challenge the 200-day SMA, currently sitting at 1.2715. The rejection from support off the 34 EMA near the 1.2500 handle will give buyers confidence, and the nearest resistance will likely be the top of 2017's 3rd quarter consolidation range at 1.2910. A bearish continuation will face support from 1.2450, 1.2353, and the recent higher low of 1.2245.

EUR/USD has turned south again since the initial post FOMC minutes spike to 1.2360 where markets perceived the FOMC split on whether the inflation tar

EUR/USD bears back in control.EUR/USD below 10 and 21-D SMAs.EUR/USD has turned south again since the initial post FOMC minutes spike to 1.2360 where markets perceived the FOMC split on whether the inflation target will definitely be achieved.  FOMC Minutes: officials saw an appreciable risk of inflation lag to target However, considering the meeting was before the recent run of further inflationary outcomes in the economy, there was a big turnaround in yields and the dollar. Currently, EUR/USD is trading at 1.2283, down -0.05% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.2300 and low at 1.2283.EUR/USD turns around and eyes levels towards 2017-2018 uptrend at 1.2044EUR/USD opened near 1.2340 in NY and traders sat on their hands awaiting the FOMC minutes for the most part. However, the dollar had been creeping higher with eyes on the 90 handle, that was subsequently achieved in the big turn-around post FOMC minutes event. EUR/USD was around 1.2360 before dropping back to below the 1.23 handle and meeting the aforementioned lows. EUR/USD levelsBulls have well and truly lost sight of the 2008- 2018 key target at 1.2680 on the wide and the price now looks committed to the downside on this break of 1.2300 below the 21 and 10-D SMAs. On the wide, the January 18 low at 1.2165 would be next in focus head of the 2017-2018 uptrend at 1.2044.